Manyan 'yan takara biyu don FIFA Gasar Duniya 2026 — Spain da Netherlands — duk sun fita daidai a wasannin buɗe gasar, suna sake tada muhawara tsohuwa kamar gasar kanta: shin fara rashin nasara yana da muhimmanci sosai?

Zakaru da suka fara da kura

Tarihi ya ba da amsa mai tabbatar da zuciya. Sa'ad da Argentina ta sha kashi ga Saudi Arabia da 2-1 a matakin rukuni na 2022, kafofin sada zumunta sun tuna da sauri da yadda Spain ta sha kashi a buɗe gasar 2010 — 1-0 a hannun Switzerland a Rukuni H — a matsayin hujja cewa rashin nasara na farko ba lalle yana mutuwa ba. Dukkan kungiyoyin biyu sun ɗaga kofin a ƙarshe.

Idan ka dubi baya sosai, shaidu na ƙaruwa. Tafiyar Italy a Gasar Duniya 1982 ta rage a matsayin misali mafi ban mamaki na ƙungiyar zakarun da ta fara da muni ƙwarai. Yayin da gasar ta faɗaɗa daga ƙungiyoyi 16 zuwa 24 — kaɗan iri ɗaya da wannan nau'i — Italy ta fita daidai a duk wasannin rukuni uku : 0-0 a kan Poland, sannan 1-1 a kan Peru da Cameroon. Duk da haka ta ci gaba, kuma ta ƙare gasar ta kayar da West Germany 3-1 a wasan ƙarshe, bayan ta riga ta fitar da zakaru masu kare kambun Argentina da 2-1 a matakan farko.

A 1986, Argentina ta Diego Maradona ta ƙetare Uruguay da ƙyar 1-0 a wasanta na buɗe kafin ta fara abin da ake ɗaukar mafi kyawun kamfen na mutum ɗaya a tarihin Gasar Duniya. A ɓangaren kishiyarsa, Germany ta fara tafiyarta zuwa taken 2014 da shan kashi na ƙaƙƙarfa 4-0 a kan Portugal — wanda ya haɗa da hat-trick na Thomas Muller da jan kati ga Pepe — amma nasara ta farko mai ƙarfi ba ta nuna an fi kwazo ba fiye da fara da rauni.

Netherlands ana hasashen za ta je nesa

Daidaito na Netherlands ya zo tare da bayani mai ban sha'awa. Masanin tattalin arzikin Jamus Joachim Klement, wanda ya yi annabci daidai game da wanda ya lashe a kowane Gasar Duniya uku da suka gabata ta hanyar amfani da ƙirar kididdiga iri ɗaya, ya sanya Netherlands a matsayin zaɓinsa na ɗaga kofin a 2026.

Idan wannan hasashe ya cika, zai ƙara sabon babi ga dogon al'adar gasar na ƙungiyoyin da suka yi jinkirin fara — waɗanda suka zubar da taka-tsan-tsan na farko, suka gina karfi, suka kuma kai kololuwa a lokacin da ya fi muhimmanci.

Wasan buɗe ba hukunci ne na ƙarshe ba

Daga daidaito uku na Italy a 1982 zuwa kayen mamaki na Argentina a 2022, Gasar Duniya ta nuna sau da yawa cewa wasan buɗe shine mafi ƙarancin alama mai aminci game da yadda ƙungiya za ta ƙare. Tare da FIFA Gasar Duniya 2026 tana cikin matakaninta na farko kuma fagen gasar yana buɗe, Spain, Netherlands, da kowace ƙungiya da ta yi tuntuɓe na iya samun gaske ta annashuwa daga rikodin tarihi.